Archive for the ‘Mortgage News’ Category

Texas Home Interest Rates: Good News and Bad News

Wednesday, February 1st, 2012

texas home loan interest ratesHere’s a good example of how decisions made in Washington D.C. translate to real dollars in homes across America:

As we’ve discussed recently, the two-month payroll extension passed late last year included a new fee that lenders must pay to the government each time Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac buy a loan from them. Already, we’re seeing interest rates increase anywhere from .125 percent to .25 percent on home purchase loans and home refinance loans that are eventually sold to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

How, you might ask, are interest rates and mortgage costs related? It’s actually pretty simple: Fannie and Freddie buy the bulk of home mortgages sold in America. They do this in order to allow lenders to dole out a far higher number of loans than they would if their books were weighed down with a bunch of 30-year-long loans. If a home lender had to wait 15 or 30 years to recoup the money lent out on each loan, they wouldn’t have the capital resources necessary to keep more than a handful of loans open at any one time. By using Fannie and Freddie to buy outstanding loans from lenders and relieving that decades-long burden from their books, the federal government supplies the capital needed to keep home loans available and affordable.

For the most part, this is good for the Texas housing market. But there can be lots of complications, such as this new fee. For the most part, lenders are simply passing the bulk of new cost on to consumers through higher interest rates.

On his weekly radio show, The TexasLending.com Mortgage Hour, (Saturdays on AM 570 KLIF from 1:00 p.m. to 2:00 p.m. across Dallas-Ft. Worth), our CEO Kevin C. Miller put it this way:

“The impact of the Obama Mortgage Tax has been large for those who thought they would get the lowest home loan rates on record only to be surprised by the increase in rates.”

Here at Texas Lending, we’re proud to offer the lowest home interest rates in Texas and just about anywhere, but these increases will still hurt potential home-buyers everywhere.

However, there is a bit of good news on the interest rate front: Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said in an interview this week that his agency will keep federal interest rates at about the same historic low we’ve seen over the past couple years.

According to Bloomberg:

“Policy makers are “prepared to provide further monetary accommodation if employment is not making sufficient progress towards our assessment of its maximum level, or if inflation shows signs of moving further below its mandate-consistent rate,” Bernanke said at a news conference today after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington. Bond buying is “an option that’s certainly on the table.”

Stocks and Treasuries rose after the Fed extended its previous pledge to keep borrowing costs low at least until the middle of 2013. Fed officials lowered their forecasts for economic growth and price increases this year and in 2013 and set a long-term goal of 2 percent inflation.

We hope to convey to the market the extent to which there is support on the committee for maintaining rates at a low level for a significant time,” he said.”

Home interest rates in the 4 percent range still qualify the current housing market as a solid buyer’s market when you consider all the other factors such as home prices and unsold inventories. In other words, this is an excellent time for a home interest loan, a home refinance loan, or a home equity loan. But when the massive glut of unsold homes begins to finally sell off and when unemployment drops, this historic buying window of opportunity might just close.

If 2012 is the year for your family to buy a home, apply for a home loan online now to get the process started. The tax cut-related interest rate jump shows just how unpredictable housing can be.

2 Month Payroll Tax Break

Thursday, December 29th, 2011

The Federal Government has extended the payroll tax deduction that has been in place for the past year. Over the past year we businesses have been withholding 2% less of your income than was being withheld in 2010. This 2% would otherwise be paid to the federal government for social security tax etc. The government has extended the witholding break for 2 additional months.

For the two additional months of payroll tax break they threw in this long term bomb to the housing market.

1. The administration will impose a tax on all new loans for the next 10 YEARS that are bought by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This increase in fees will increase will be passed on to those refinancing and buying homes with the cost to homeowners of about $180 per year for a $200,000 home. This equates to over $1,500 in interest charges over the next 10 years to get a $180 break over the next two months. It will increase the interest rate on mortgages by about 0.1% which will kill some refinances and lower home values by making them less affordable. Making this kind of deal with the government is like selling your soul for a lollipop.

Since the government doesn’t like you to do the math I will do it for you. It will cost over 700% more out of pocket to the homeowner over 10 years than they will get in a 2 month payroll tax cut. And you thought it was the banks who were screwing the consumer. This is what I call predatory tax breaks and predatory government.

The government will come back in January to then extend the tax break for the rest of the year. This additional extension will undoubtedly throw more tax burdens on the middle class and working man and further subdue the economy.

Hopefully if it will be a further drag on the economy this will lead to lower mortgage rates. So in that case, I take it all back.

2011 in Review: The Year of Rock-Bottom Home Interest Rates

Wednesday, December 28th, 2011

There was no shortage of headlines this year when it came to housing — hints (and false hints) of a recovery, huge unsold inventories, an unfolding crisis in Europe that threatens to undo everything gained recently on this side of the pond. But if we had to pick one headline that mattered the most to Texas families, it was this: 2011 featured the most unprecedented, most buyer-friendly, and most obscenely low home interest rates we’ve seen in a long, long time.

No hyperbole. This year truly was a record one for Dallas home interest rates, Houston home interest rates, and Austin home interest rates.

According to The Dallas Morning News:

Mortgage rates remain near decades-low levels, and even the most pessimistic forecasts don’t foretell a big run-up in rates. That’s good news, because there are enough obstacles these days to buying a house — from tougher mortgage qualification standards to home appraisals that miss the mark.

The average long-term, fixed-rate mortgage is still going for less than 4.5 percent. Not too long ago, anything under 7 percent was considered a steal.

Current mortgage rates are so low that some housing economists worry that recent homebuyers or refinancers will be reluctant to move a few years from now because they won’t want to give up their absurdly cheap interest rates.

Home interest rates like these make life easy for both potential home-buyers and current homeowners in a couple of ways:

First, they make housing more affordable, which makes it both easier to buy a home and, therefore, easier to sell as well. In a sluggish market like the one we’ve been stuck in for the past few years, this is excellent news. And here at Texas Lending, we’re proud to continually offer just about the lowest rates you’ll find anywhere in the Lone Star State on Austin home loans, Dallas home loans and Houston home loans.

Similarly, low interest rates also lower the cost of refinancing your home. As we’ve mentioned in the past, refinancing can give homeowners an enormous amount of much-needed flexibility during an economically uncertain time. And again, you won’t find more affordable Austin refinance rates, Dallas refinance rates or Houston refinance rates than you will at Texas Lending.

Rates will continue to stay low well into 2012, but this historic buyer’s window can’t last much longer. Contact us if the time is right for you to buy or refinance before rates begin to rise.

Texas Housing Market & The Best-Performing Cities Index

Monday, December 19th, 2011

Each year, the Milken Institute takes a look at each metropolitan area across the country, and ranks them according to how well they are currently creating and sustaining jobs and economic growth (including such factors as unemployment, wage growth, and technological growth).

There’s a clear winner in this year’s report: Texas.

Nine of our great state’s cities were listed in the top 25 of the nation’s 200 largest metropolitan areas, including four of the top five. San Antonio earned the top-spot crown. El Paso and Austin also made the top five, while Killeen-Temple-Ft. Hood, Houston, McAllen, Dallas, Ft. Worth and Lubbock also each made the top 25. Even the state’s less-populated regions finished with flying colors, with College Station, Longview, Waco, Tyler, and Midland each rated among America’s top 25 smaller cities.

According to the Texas Real Estate Center:

“While it’s good news for Texas to do so well on an index that is based largely on employment growth, Real Estate Center Research Economist Dr. Jim Gaines said the state looked good mainly because other states didn’t.

“Our growth rate and advancement isn’t all that wonderful,” Gaines told the San Antonio Express-News. “We’ve managed to stay flat or have very small positives. But because everybody has so many negatives, we look so much better.”

According to the report, nearly one out of every five jobs created across the entire United States of America was created here in the Lone Star State. Houston and Dallas alone — an area roughly the size of Massachusetts — created nearly one out of every ten jobs created in America. Imagine that.

This news isn’t really that new. Everybody knows that the Lone Star State is simply a fantastic place to live. If the upcoming New Year has you considering a move to a new home, we’ll welcome you with an unmatched range of Dallas home loans, Houston home loans, and Austin home loans. Happy holidays!

Texas Housing Market – Looking Ahead to 2012

Monday, December 12th, 2011

Let’s face it: 2011 hasn’t been quite the year of the Texas housing market rebound and recovery we had hoped. In fact, it looked way, way too much like 2009 and 2010.

So what about 2012? Will this year be the year when we finally see a real, robust, sustained housing recovery? We’ve seen a slew of positive signs recently, but there’s been several times in the past couple years when we thought the promised land was just over the horizon. So what could be different about this next leg of this journey through housing wilderness?

With the end of 2011 just around the corner, let’s begin taking a look at what housing markets in Austin, Dallas, and Houston might look like in the coming year.

Let’s start with the Texas A&M Real Estate Center’s monthly review of the state’s economy. According to the report, promising private sector signs indicate that a broader economic recovery might be forming:

Government job losses are slowing Texas’ employment growth rate but the state’s private sector continues to create jobs, offsetting government job losses. The state created 15.4 percent of total jobs created in the United States from October 2010 to October 2011.

The Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos metro area’s annual employment growth rate from October 2010 to October 2011 was 1.7 percent, ranking it 13th. The Dallas-Plano-Irving metro area posted an annual employment growth rate of 1.6 percent in October 2011. The metro area ranked 14th in employment growth rate. The Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown metro area posted an annual employment growth rate of 3.1 percent for the period and ranked 6th among Texas metro areas in employment growth rate.

Nationwide, CNBC notes that home prices are expected to lag behind the broader economic recovery and decline another five percent by the end of 2012. Part of this is due to the major backlog of delinquent loans that won’t be sorted out till things pick up steam again:

Prices are already on a downward trajectory, as foreclosure inventories rise. Banks/mortgage servicers are finally working through a huge backlog of delinquent loans, and as those distressed properties come to market, they will consequently lower home prices. With lower conforming-loan levels, as well as a tight lending environment and the possibility of rising mortgage rates, prices will bottom out in the fall.

Still, Texas is more primed for a robust housing recovery than most places. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Texas will hit its nadir early, allowing prices to begin rising more thoroughly as 2012 marches on:

Analysts at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas expect home prices to hit bottom by early 2012 as job growth expands in areas like Texas where comparably less overbuilding occurred in the decade leading up to the housing bust. They believe the negative impact of housing supply overhang has been overstated because the housing market is a regional business, where states with expanding job growth, such as Texas, could see a bottom soon, as economy recovers and the pace of household formation rises.

“Although the short-run outlook for the housing market is uncertain, it appears that new home construction and house prices at the national level will stabilize and start slowly recovering within the next year or so,” they said.

In other words, 2012 looks to be an uncertain year — but one arriving with plenty of cautious optimism. Whenever the time is right, we’ve got a slew of Dallas home loans, Austin home loans, and Houston home loans ready for you.

More Good Texas Housing Market News on the Horizon

Monday, November 21st, 2011

Forgive us for talking so much about good news lately, but after so many years of false starts, bad indicators, and ever-present dark clouds on the horizon, it feels good to be focusing in some persistent green shoots. So check out these bits of (record-setting) good news. According to the excellent Modeled Behavior economics blog:

From Bloomberg:

Housing construction permits climbed last month to their highest level since March 2010, according to Commerce Department data, as the near record-low mortgage rates lured some buyers into the market.

The future pace of consumer spending ultimately will be decided by the growth of household income, which in turn is tied to the health of the job market.

And there, Herrmann saw some reason to be optimistic. He forecast that private-sector payrolls would rise an average 160,000 per month for the rest of this year and by 200,000 per month in the first four months of 2012. Private payrolls increased 104,000 in October.

In a sign that the job market may be improving, claims for unemployment benefits dropped to their lowest level in seven months in the week ended Nov. 12, to 388,000, Labor Department figures released yesterday showed.

Though actually most of this is driven by Multi-Family investment. As long as Europe doesn’t destroy the world – and it very well may – I expect Multi-Family starts to be posting record highs by the end of 2012.

And I mean record, never before in American history will construction be started on so many apartment complex units.

Lots and lots of encouraging statistics there. If stats make your eyes glaze over, I’ll recap:

  • The most construction permits issued in 18 months.
  • Between 160,000 to 200,000 private sector jobs are expected to be added each month for the next six months.
  • Unemployment claims dropped to a seven-month low.
  • Record-high home construction starts are expected in 2012.

Of course, a record rebound like this wouldn’t be possible without a huge crash in the first place, so this doesn’t mean the housing environment is better than it’s ever been before. It’s just a bit of a trampoline effect.

Part of the problem is that the house collapse really did devastate livelihoods for families who lost jobs, couldn’t afford their homes, and couldn’t sell their homes in order to move to new jobs. You can imagine the giant drag on an economic recovery this would create. But a collapse of that scale also effects — and can be exacerbated by — those who didn’t actually lose their homes or jobs.

For example, Modeled Behavior also forecasts a similarly robust rebound in auto sales, which, while not directly related to housing, is also an important indicator when looking for signs of an improving economy. And it’s an indicator that is similar to housing — many Americans stopped buying cars following the economic crash not because they didn’t need them, nor necessarily that they couldn’t afford them. It’s just that in an environment of deep uncertainty that followed the crash, many still-employed families decided to hold off on buying that new home or new car until they felt better about their own financial future. Fear, confusion and uncertainty are market irrationalities that can grind an already-sick economy to a halt.

Thus the current high hopes for a robust rebound.

If you’re one of those families that’s in position to buy a new home, now might be a great time to seriously consider doing so before prices begin to rise again. We can help with a comprehensive line of Houston home loans, Dallas home loans, and Austin home loans. Similarly, if you’ve been waiting to renovate your home (say… expanding your garage for that second car you’ve been putting off buying), our Dallas home equity loans, Houston home equity loans, and Austin home equity loans are a great tools for doing so.

A Pair of Positive Texas Housing Market Indicators

Wednesday, November 2nd, 2011

Two bits of good news this week for folks waiting for the right time to apply for a mortgage in Dallas, Houston or Austin:

1. Consumption is up nationwide. According to Bloomberg:

The U.S. economy grew in the third quarter at the fastest pace in a year as Americans reduced savings to boost purchases and companies stepped up investment in equipment and software.

Gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced, rose at a 2.5 percent annual rate, up from 1.3 percent in the prior three months, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Household purchases, the biggest part of the economy, increased at a 2.4 percent pace, more than forecast by economists.

Consumption drives our economy, and it dropped with devastating speed when the economy crashed. Since then, people have been cutting back on expenses to pay off debts or build savings in case of job losses. And, of course, many folks put off buying a new home for a few years until situations improved (if they could even sell their home at all).  This is necessary, but makes for a slow recovery. Therefore, boosted consumption is an indicator that things might be turning around.

2. U.S. home prices increased in September more than expected. According to Business Week:

Sales climbed 5.7 percent to a 313,000 annual pace, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for a gain to 300,000. The median price slumped 10 percent from September 2010, the biggest drop in more than two years. Another report showed demand for durable goods excluding transportation equipment climbed last month by the most since March.

The increase in home sales was paced by rising demand in the West and South, while other parts of the country slumped, showing an uneven market that is weighed down by competition from a glut of distressed, previously owned houses.

Of course, a handful of other statistics can be pulled out to show that we’re not quite out of the woods yet. Plus, external factors like the impending debt and banking crisis in Europe could undo the majority of our recent hard-fought gains. But, combined, these trends show that overall trends are looking up a bit — both in Texas and across the nation.

If you’ve been waiting to buy a home until prices bottom out, now might be the right time to do so before growth in prices really starts to pick up steam. If you’ve been waiting to buy a home until prices recover enough to sell your home, well… stay patient. A more favorable market for your situation might be just around the corner.

In the meantime, it might be a good idea to go ahead and start exploring our Dallas home loan, Houston home loans and Austin home loan options for more information. In a volatile market like this one, you’ll want to be ready to pounce when the window of opportunity that’s right for your family cracks open.

The Rangers Prove It: Dallas is America’s City (Right?)

Monday, October 24th, 2011

The Mavs and the Rangers doing everything they can to make Dallas-Ft. Worth more than just the home of “America’s Team” — could the Metroplex be on its way to becoming “America’s City”?

The past year in sports has gotten us here at Texas Lending Today thinking: What impact, exactly, does sports effect have on cities? Is there any connection to the housing and real estate sectors? It turns out the idea has already been explored by a handful of researchers.

According to a 2001 study conducted at the University of Maryland:

An empirical examination of the determinants of real per capita income in cities with professional sports teams from 1969-1997 shows that postseason appearances are not associated with any change in the level of real per capita income in these cities. However, in the city that is home to the winning team from the Super Bowl, real per capita personal income is found to be higher by about $140, perhaps reflecting a link between winning the Super Bowl and the productivity of workers in cities.

Hmm. $140 isn’t much in the big economic scheme of things, but it means there is a real effect. So this got us thinking — what other impacts can sports success bring to a city?

1997 was a long time ago — would that $140 figure be higher in this sluggish economy? For example, a big part of the current recession is fueled by the fact that consumption dropped off when the economy crashed in 2008. Many families are (for good reason) paying down debts and building up savings in lieu of, say, eating out one or two extra nights per week or upgrading to a new home. Could the good feelings and holiday atmosphere generated by a big win lead to a temporary stimulus of extra spending?

Also, what kind of effect can a city have on a team’s success? For example, in a booming city, teams can theoretically charge more for tickets, have more companies willing to rent out steeply priced luxury boxes, and have a tax base willing to fund fabulous new stadiums filled with more such seats and boxes — all of which make it easy for teams to attract (and pay for) the best coaches and players. Right? Similarly, a city where players love living and want to raise their kids makes it easy for teams to lure in top talent. Right?

Despite our best Googling efforts, we couldn’t find any statistical evidence to answer any of these questions… so let’s go ahead and assume it’s all true. Pat yourself on the back: The Rangers and Mavs are winning, in part, because Dallas is a winning city.

Here’s the point: Dallas-Ft.Worth is an excellent place to live, and now is a truly exciting time to be here. Somewhere in the mathematical cosmos, the Rangers, Cowboys, and Mavs have all proved this. So if you’re considering a move to our wonderful region, contact us find a Dallas home purchase loan that’s right for you.

Go Rangers.

Texas Cities & the Housing Market: There’s Something for Everyone

Monday, October 10th, 2011

We spend a ton of time here at Texas Lending Today raving about why the Lone Star State is such a fantastic place to live. For good reasons too: It’s gorgeous. It’s fun. It’s family-oriented. It’s wide open. It’s abundant in every way.

And, of course, it’s one of the best places in America to find or job — or just start a business to make your own job.

Texas cities also feature geographical benefits. Look at Houston or Dallas compared to similarly sized cities on the coasts, and you’ll see how much less they’re constrained by mountains and oceans. We all probably wish the Rocky Mountains were, say, somewhere around Midland instead of a two-day drive away, but the upside to having a relatively flat state is that there will almost always be room to build new houses.

Spend any time driving around Houston’s outer edges, and you’ll probably notice wave after wave of relatively new, identical-ish neighborhoods. With endless land, Houston can build and build and build — both neighborhoods and everything else needed to sustain them, like highways and retail centers. Dallas is similar. Even Austin, bordered by hilly (by Texas standards) terrain, is relatively unconstrained.

This keeps housing relatively cheap, but, unfortunately, it also makes investment potential for homebuyers somewhat uneven.

Look at it this way: During boom times, these cities seem to just add continually new layers to the onion — belt after belt of suburban developments. What used to be the far reaches of town twenty years later finds itself somewhere in the middle. What used to be small towns a short drive from the big city just sort of get absorbed into the main population.

So, when times are good and home prices are rising, homeowners often have to compete with new construction just a couple miles away in order to sell. This suppressed sale prices. When times are bad, there tends to be an oversupply of newly built homes — again, suppressing sale prices.

This makes for almost a sort of eternal buyer’s market on the outer edges of Texas cities. If you buy a house hoping you’ll be able to retire on what you sell it for 15 years down the road, those gains might not be there.

The Upside of This Downside

There’s a diversity of home options in Texas cities. If you’re looking for a sure-fire investment property, the central parts of Dallas, Houston and Austin are all booming, and have the fundamentals in place to continue booming long into the future. If you’re looking more for an affordable, safe and stable place to raise your family, you’ll benefit from the dynamic we just described.

In other words, there’s something for everyone in Texas cities. Just plan effectively. We can help — contact us about a Houston home loan, Dallas home loan or Austin home loan.

Recession Recap: Houston Housing Market

Monday, October 3rd, 2011

A hundred years ago, a handful of brave souls discovered that you could plop down a city on a mosquito-infested swamp and, apparently, spawn a deeply resilient housing market (even if a little bit prone to bubbles around the edges). We’ll explain.

As we mentioned last week, Houston mirrored the awesome August recently experienced by the Austin and Dallas housing markets. According to the Houston Chronicle:

The local housing market continued to favor buyers last month, although that may be changing.

At the end of August, there was a 7.1-month supply of homes for sale – meaning it would take that long to sell all the homes on the market based on recent activity, according to the Houston Association of Realtors. A year ago, the area had an eight-month supply. [...]

Single-family homes sales rose sharply in August, jumping 30 percent over last year, the association said. Sales totaled 5,543, marking the third straight monthly increase this year. All segments of this area’s housing market saw higher sales in August – from properties less than $80,000 to the $500,000 and above range. Townhouse and condominium sales jumped 19.5 percent.

Houston has several factors working in its favor. Simply put, it’s one of the most recession-proof cities in America. Let’s take a look at what makes the Bayou City tick:

1. Jobs

Houston has lots of ‘em. Unemployment in Houston is currently hovering somewhere around 8.6 percent, compared to 9.1 percent nationally. Why? Its strengths aren’t things like finance and real estate (which suffered severely in the 2008 crash). It’s energy, shipping and medicine.  America will always need ports. America will always need energy. America will always need healthcare.

Each of these sectors is volatile in their own way (especially energy), but they’re more resilient than most industries. Houston is in good shape until we all stop driving, aging, and ordering cheap goods from China.

2. Land

Houston has lots of land. Tons of land. It could expand all the way west to Austin and all the way north to Dallas if it wanted to. There’s simply nothing hemming it in.

Look at many of America’s classic cities: Manhattan. Los Angeles. San Francisco. Seattle. Each of these cities are largely walled in by some combination of a coast and mountains, limiting sprawl and driving up housing prices. Mountainous and coastal areas also pose expensive infrastructure challenges, limiting the availability of cheap, massive highways like the ones found all over Houston.

Houston can build and build and build — both houses and roads — keeping housing costs low.

3. Labor

Without getting into political issues, large immigrant populations do help fuel construction booms, especially in housing and infrastructure. And Houston has an excellent diversity of skill in its labor pool. When conditions are ripe for a housing boom, it can quickly tap into the labor supply needed to do it.

These factors, combined with all the other state-wide elements that make Texas an excellent place to start a business and the fact that the 1980s oil crisis culled many of the weaker businesses that would’ve collapsed in the 2008 economic crisis, make Houston abnormally resistant to a recession-fueled housing crisis. Here at Texas Lending, we’re proud to offer a full line of Houston home purchase loans, Houston home equity loans and Houston home refinance loans for folks looking to take advantage of this environment.

Of course, there are a couple negatives that limit home price growth in certain parts of the city as well, which makes housing both accessible and a poor investment. We’ll explore those — and similar negatives in Dallas and Austin — next week.

 
 

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