Nearly 100 home runs since he’s left the Rangers, Mark Texeira is still trying to sell his house in Dallas. According to the Wall Street Journal :
Yankee star Mark Teixeira has relisted his Texas home, this time for $4.55 million. The house has been on and off the market since 2007 and was offered most recently, in November, for $5.75 million.
The first baseman started his professional career with the Texas Rangers in 2003. The 8,600-square-foot house, built in 2005, sits on just over an acre overlooking a small lake, in a gated community in a suburb of Dallas-Fort Worth. The master suite has a gas fireplace and a large patio with an infinity-pool style hot tub. The home comes with a pool and a covered patio with an outdoor gas fireplace; an in-home movie theater opens to the patio for outdoor viewing. The gated community, called Vaquero, has a clubhouse restaurant for members, a Tom Fazio-designed golf course and 24-hour guarded gates.
Obviously, Mark’s (much deserved—if you’re still bitter about the slugger yawning at a giant contract offer from the Rangers three years ago) housing woes don’t tell us that much about the Dallas housing market . But unusual and telling indicators abound. Here are just a few:
Rejoicing About Rising Unemployment
It’s the result of a quirk in the way unemployment is calculated . The unemployment rate you hear about all the time only includes people still in the process of looking for a job. If an unemployed person gives up—perhaps to go back to school, to travel, or even just to sit around—they aren’t counted. So when the job market starts to improve, and people start looking again, the unemployment rate can actually rise. That’s how you can get promising economic news (Job losses drop!) paired with less-optimistic employment stats (Unemployment rises!).
As more people return to work—possibly with new degrees in hand—foreclosures are likely to fall.
School Budget Shortfalls
As we mentioned last week, spring is property tax protest season in Dallas (and we don’t mean tea parties). Most homeowners receive their annual property appraisal notices around this time, meaning we get an fantastic flood of housing market statistics. And according to the Dallas Morning News , the crisis aftermath for the Dallas-Ft. Worth Metroplex is significant—Dallas County is seeing a 4.6 percent drop in the preliminary tax roll compared to a year ago, from $174 billion to $166 billion. This means you can expect to see local governments struggling to make ends meet, which, in turn, indicates continued slumps in the housing market as many homeowners owe more than their properties are worth.
Craigslist Couches
The price of couches online on sites like Craigslist matters—well, at least according to some economists (via the Wall Street Journal ):
"It’s not an exact science," [economist Ted Egan] said. But when it comes to data, he said, "more is almost always better than less."
And there is always more. Mr. Egan said he would like to build software to monitor Craigslist prices for furniture, concert tickets, haircuts and other goods and services to measure changes in local prices. The online classified-ads site, he said, would give a quicker and more detailed read than the bimonthly data from the Labor Department.
Advancing technology is changing the makeup of the economy, Mr. Egan said, so "you never know where the green shoots are going to come from."
Of course, you could look just about anything for sale on Craigslist for an economic indicator. But couches more directly equate with movement in and out of houses and apartments.
Then again, increased demand for couches could indicate two opposite things: (1) It could mean more people are moving into new houses (thus needing new furniture). Or (2) with less money to spend, people are buying second-hand furniture (rather than something from a store) from people with an urgent need for cash.
But that’s part of the point: look around, learn, and listen, but take everything with a grain of salt. In the end, all you can do is work hard, invest and spend wisely, and move forward from the Texas housing crisis cautiously. Guessing which way the markets are moving is only part of the game.



