Why 2012 Might Be the Year for a Texas Home Loan

January 23rd, 2012

The final tallies from 2011 are in. With the arrival of the new year, a slew of agencies, academics and industry groups are starting to release an annual treasure trove of statistics that give us a pretty illuminating glimpse of what actually happened this past year — and whether or not the current year is the right time to begin considering a Dallas home loan, Austin home loan, or Houston home loan.


Existing Home Sales

For example, according to the National Association of Realtors, sales of existing homes across America rose approximately 1.7 percent in 2011, from 4.19 million to 4.26 million.  This stat is extra positive considering the fact that existing home sales in 2010 actually fell 3.5 percent from the year before, showing that we avoided another prolonged slide.

It’s also good news because sales of existing homes are needed perhaps as much as anything else in order to see a sustained housing recovery.  While sales of newly constructed homes are important (home-building adds much-needed construction jobs and other ancillary benefits), there’s still a massive glut of unsold houses available on the market. This “shadow inventory” needs to be sold off before we can get back to normal.

Still, as the statistics note, we’re a long, long way from normal. The year before the housing bubble popped, 5.04 million homes sold — approximately 15.5 percent more than last year.

New Home Construction

On the flip side, according to the Commerce Department, 2011 was the worst year for new home construction since the economy crashed. Construction began on just 428,600 single-family homes in 2011, just half of what’s standard in a normal U.S. economy

On the bright side, even housing starts ended the otherwise dismal year on a positive note: housing starts increased for the third consecutive month in December. So maybe 2012 will show more signs of a recovery across the board.

The Takeaway

All these stats show two things: 1. Better times are likely ahead (so long as, you know, Europe’s problems don’t spread, or China doesn’t crash, or our debt problems finally catch up to us, or Wall St. flips out again). 2. We’re not there yet.

So it’s still a historic buyer-friendly housing market  in Texas. And here at TexasLending.com, we’re proud to offer a full range of affordable Texas home loans if these stats tell you it’s time to buy.

Two Reasons 2012 Might be the Year for a Texas Home Loan or Refinance

January 18th, 2012

We spend no small amount of time sorting through the dismaying, frustrating, enraging, life-sucking, tear-your-hair-out, no good problems facing our economy here at Texas Lending Today (plus a little bit of time exploring how our Texas home loans can help alleviate some of the pain).

But there are a few positive indicators out there that show some promise for 2012 — especially if you’re a potential home-buyer here in Texas. Here are the two biggest areas to watch as the new year unfolds:

1. (Slowly) Recovering Home Prices

When you can’t sell your home, you can’t move to a more affordable home, nor can you move to a better job. You could sell the home for a loss, but you’d end up carrying a hefty chunk of debt with you into the next home and basically be paying for part of a home in which you don’t even live.

Housing is central to our struggling economy. So here’s a bit of good housing news in Texas. According to Texas A&M’s Texas Real Estate Center:

Sales of existing single-family Texas homes in November were up 9 percent from a year ago, according to the most recent Multiple Listing Services (MLS) data compiled by the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

More than 15,000 homes were sold, data showed. The median home price was $147,600, up 1 percent from a year ago, and the state’s overall inventory was at 6.6 months.

For families who’ve been stuck underwater on a home they can’t sell for anything near the price they need to, better times might just be ahead.

2. Low Interest Rates

Week after week, we continue to marvel at how extraordinarily low Texas home interest rates remain. Combine this with still-affordable home prices and slowly recovering unemployment (at least here in the Lone Star State), and we’re still in thick of a historic buyer’s market.

The implications of  for the broader economy are, like most things, mixed at best. Eventually, the Fed will start letting interest rates rise again. But in an election year, with unemployment still relatively high, this seems pretty unlikely.  2012 will be a great year to buy.

At TexasLending.com, we’ve got a full slate of Texas home loans available at rock-bottom rates. These rates are ideal for an Austin home refinance loan, Dallas home refinance loan, or Houston home refinance loan as well.

Simple Texas Home Loans for Complicated Times

January 10th, 2012

As our CEO Kevin Miller explained last week, the payroll tax holiday extension passed recently in Congress will likely be paid for with a new tax on all new loans bought by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac over the next decade.

The combination of high unemployment, huge federal deficits, a still-messy housing market and an uncertain regulatory environment in Washington forecasts a pretty unstable few years ahead for the housing market. In other words, expect unexpected costs, confusing rules, and frustrating delays.

Here at TexasLending.com, we’ll do everything we can to keep the home loan experience simple and affordable. Here’s how:

We Keep Rates Low

Even if taxes increase, 2012 will still be a historic year to buy a home. Simply put, home interest rates are unbelievably low, and we’re not afraid to brag about the fact that we’ve got the lowest Dallas home interest rates, Austin home interest rates, and Houston home interest rates you’ll find.

We Keep Customers Informed

Knowledge is power, and we’re determined to help make our customers the most well-informed group of homeowners anywhere. So check back here at Texas Lending Today each week to learn what’s new in Texas cities local housing markets, how what’s happening in Washington effects homeowners in the Lone Star State, and how the Texas mortgages services provided here at TexasLending.com can help. Or tune in each Saturday to our CEO’s radio show on 570 KLIF — The TexasLending.com Mortage Hour With Kevin Miller — to hear more.

Similarly, to learn more about our Texas home loans services such as, say, home refinance loans in Dallas, Houston home equity loans, or Austin home purchase loans, take a look at our website. In our mortgage resources section, you can use such nifty tools as our mortgage calculators, peruse the mortgage glossary, and learn more about our loan process.

We Keep Communication Lines Open

Contact us — our unparalleled team of Texas home loan specialists would love to answer any questions, listen to any frustrations, and ease any concerns we can. Or apply online to get the process started today.

Texas Home Equity Loans and Home Refinance Loans: Two Ways to Start 2012 Flush

January 5th, 2012

One of the bigger downsides to December holiday joy is the January cash crunch hangover that usually follows. According to the American Research Group, American families spent on average more than $630 each on holiday shopping. In the mid-2000s, before unemployment spiked, that number was closer to $900 to $1,000 spent per family, but 2011’s expected figure is still a sizable bump over previous years.

This surge in spending is promising news for the economy. Shops, restaurants and other businesses of all shapes and sizes need customers to spend just a bit more. But, of course, for families still struggling from unemployment or high credit card debt, the holidays can make for a tight squeeze come January.

We can help homeowners in two ways. As we mentioned last week, interest rates are currently holding at an unprecedented sustained low, which means that homeowners can get much-needed access to cash in a financially sound way. And here at TexasLending.com, we’re always proud to offer among the lowest home interest rates anywhere in the Lone Star State and beyond (currently as low as 3.75 percent).

Texas Home Equity Loans

Make your most valuable asset — your home — work for you. Our Austin home equity loans, Houston home equity loans and Dallas home equity loans can give you much-needed flexibility in terms of how you manage your finances. For every $10,000 of credit card debt you’re currently carrying, a home equity loan can help you reduce interest payments by as much as $400 per month. What could you do with that cash?

Texas Home Refinance Loans

If you originally took out your home loan at a time when home interest rates were much, much higher, it’s probably a good idea to consider one of our Austin home refinance loans, Dallas home refinance loans, or Houston home refinance loans. For example, refinancing a $120,000 loan could save you $100 per month and more than $3,000 over three years. Larger loans will give you even higher savings. Again — what could you do with that extra bit of freed up cash?

2 Month Payroll Tax Break

December 29th, 2011

The Federal Government has extended the payroll tax deduction that has been in place for the past year. Over the past year we businesses have been withholding 2% less of your income than was being withheld in 2010. This 2% would otherwise be paid to the federal government for social security tax etc. The government has extended the witholding break for 2 additional months.

For the two additional months of payroll tax break they threw in this long term bomb to the housing market.

1. The administration will impose a tax on all new loans for the next 10 YEARS that are bought by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This increase in fees will increase will be passed on to those refinancing and buying homes with the cost to homeowners of about $180 per year for a $200,000 home. This equates to over $1,500 in interest charges over the next 10 years to get a $180 break over the next two months. It will increase the interest rate on mortgages by about 0.1% which will kill some refinances and lower home values by making them less affordable. Making this kind of deal with the government is like selling your soul for a lollipop.

Since the government doesn’t like you to do the math I will do it for you. It will cost over 700% more out of pocket to the homeowner over 10 years than they will get in a 2 month payroll tax cut. And you thought it was the banks who were screwing the consumer. This is what I call predatory tax breaks and predatory government.

The government will come back in January to then extend the tax break for the rest of the year. This additional extension will undoubtedly throw more tax burdens on the middle class and working man and further subdue the economy.

Hopefully if it will be a further drag on the economy this will lead to lower mortgage rates. So in that case, I take it all back.

2011 in Review: The Year of Rock-Bottom Home Interest Rates

December 28th, 2011

There was no shortage of headlines this year when it came to housing — hints (and false hints) of a recovery, huge unsold inventories, an unfolding crisis in Europe that threatens to undo everything gained recently on this side of the pond. But if we had to pick one headline that mattered the most to Texas families, it was this: 2011 featured the most unprecedented, most buyer-friendly, and most obscenely low home interest rates we’ve seen in a long, long time.

No hyperbole. This year truly was a record one for Dallas home interest rates, Houston home interest rates, and Austin home interest rates.

According to The Dallas Morning News:

Mortgage rates remain near decades-low levels, and even the most pessimistic forecasts don’t foretell a big run-up in rates. That’s good news, because there are enough obstacles these days to buying a house — from tougher mortgage qualification standards to home appraisals that miss the mark.

The average long-term, fixed-rate mortgage is still going for less than 4.5 percent. Not too long ago, anything under 7 percent was considered a steal.

Current mortgage rates are so low that some housing economists worry that recent homebuyers or refinancers will be reluctant to move a few years from now because they won’t want to give up their absurdly cheap interest rates.

Home interest rates like these make life easy for both potential home-buyers and current homeowners in a couple of ways:

First, they make housing more affordable, which makes it both easier to buy a home and, therefore, easier to sell as well. In a sluggish market like the one we’ve been stuck in for the past few years, this is excellent news. And here at Texas Lending, we’re proud to continually offer just about the lowest rates you’ll find anywhere in the Lone Star State on Austin home loans, Dallas home loans and Houston home loans.

Similarly, low interest rates also lower the cost of refinancing your home. As we’ve mentioned in the past, refinancing can give homeowners an enormous amount of much-needed flexibility during an economically uncertain time. And again, you won’t find more affordable Austin refinance rates, Dallas refinance rates or Houston refinance rates than you will at Texas Lending.

Rates will continue to stay low well into 2012, but this historic buyer’s window can’t last much longer. Contact us if the time is right for you to buy or refinance before rates begin to rise.

Texas Housing Market & The Best-Performing Cities Index

December 19th, 2011

Each year, the Milken Institute takes a look at each metropolitan area across the country, and ranks them according to how well they are currently creating and sustaining jobs and economic growth (including such factors as unemployment, wage growth, and technological growth).

There’s a clear winner in this year’s report: Texas.

Nine of our great state’s cities were listed in the top 25 of the nation’s 200 largest metropolitan areas, including four of the top five. San Antonio earned the top-spot crown. El Paso and Austin also made the top five, while Killeen-Temple-Ft. Hood, Houston, McAllen, Dallas, Ft. Worth and Lubbock also each made the top 25. Even the state’s less-populated regions finished with flying colors, with College Station, Longview, Waco, Tyler, and Midland each rated among America’s top 25 smaller cities.

According to the Texas Real Estate Center:

“While it’s good news for Texas to do so well on an index that is based largely on employment growth, Real Estate Center Research Economist Dr. Jim Gaines said the state looked good mainly because other states didn’t.

“Our growth rate and advancement isn’t all that wonderful,” Gaines told the San Antonio Express-News. “We’ve managed to stay flat or have very small positives. But because everybody has so many negatives, we look so much better.”

According to the report, nearly one out of every five jobs created across the entire United States of America was created here in the Lone Star State. Houston and Dallas alone — an area roughly the size of Massachusetts — created nearly one out of every ten jobs created in America. Imagine that.

This news isn’t really that new. Everybody knows that the Lone Star State is simply a fantastic place to live. If the upcoming New Year has you considering a move to a new home, we’ll welcome you with an unmatched range of Dallas home loans, Houston home loans, and Austin home loans. Happy holidays!

Texas Housing Market – Looking Ahead to 2012

December 12th, 2011

Let’s face it: 2011 hasn’t been quite the year of the Texas housing market rebound and recovery we had hoped. In fact, it looked way, way too much like 2009 and 2010.

So what about 2012? Will this year be the year when we finally see a real, robust, sustained housing recovery? We’ve seen a slew of positive signs recently, but there’s been several times in the past couple years when we thought the promised land was just over the horizon. So what could be different about this next leg of this journey through housing wilderness?

With the end of 2011 just around the corner, let’s begin taking a look at what housing markets in Austin, Dallas, and Houston might look like in the coming year.

Let’s start with the Texas A&M Real Estate Center’s monthly review of the state’s economy. According to the report, promising private sector signs indicate that a broader economic recovery might be forming:

Government job losses are slowing Texas’ employment growth rate but the state’s private sector continues to create jobs, offsetting government job losses. The state created 15.4 percent of total jobs created in the United States from October 2010 to October 2011.

The Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos metro area’s annual employment growth rate from October 2010 to October 2011 was 1.7 percent, ranking it 13th. The Dallas-Plano-Irving metro area posted an annual employment growth rate of 1.6 percent in October 2011. The metro area ranked 14th in employment growth rate. The Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown metro area posted an annual employment growth rate of 3.1 percent for the period and ranked 6th among Texas metro areas in employment growth rate.

Nationwide, CNBC notes that home prices are expected to lag behind the broader economic recovery and decline another five percent by the end of 2012. Part of this is due to the major backlog of delinquent loans that won’t be sorted out till things pick up steam again:

Prices are already on a downward trajectory, as foreclosure inventories rise. Banks/mortgage servicers are finally working through a huge backlog of delinquent loans, and as those distressed properties come to market, they will consequently lower home prices. With lower conforming-loan levels, as well as a tight lending environment and the possibility of rising mortgage rates, prices will bottom out in the fall.

Still, Texas is more primed for a robust housing recovery than most places. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Texas will hit its nadir early, allowing prices to begin rising more thoroughly as 2012 marches on:

Analysts at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas expect home prices to hit bottom by early 2012 as job growth expands in areas like Texas where comparably less overbuilding occurred in the decade leading up to the housing bust. They believe the negative impact of housing supply overhang has been overstated because the housing market is a regional business, where states with expanding job growth, such as Texas, could see a bottom soon, as economy recovers and the pace of household formation rises.

“Although the short-run outlook for the housing market is uncertain, it appears that new home construction and house prices at the national level will stabilize and start slowly recovering within the next year or so,” they said.

In other words, 2012 looks to be an uncertain year — but one arriving with plenty of cautious optimism. Whenever the time is right, we’ve got a slew of Dallas home loans, Austin home loans, and Houston home loans ready for you.

Sick of Slow Home Sale Closures? We Can Help

December 5th, 2011

Recently, a report by the Realtors Confidence Index showed that less than half of home sales are closing on time. Comparatively, in September loans were closing on time at around a 63 percent mark. And in July, loans closed on time around 76 percent of the time.

home sale closures

There’s a host of explanations for this. For example, according to the report, residual issues from the economic crisis like unemployment, tight credit, and poor conditions of properties up for sale are partly to blame.

We’ve noticed a few factors as well:

  • Nearly 95 percent of all loans closed these days are sold to the federal government, which means that loans must meet a slew of guidelines and regulations. The upside of this is increased access to affordable loans. But the downside is that increased government involvement brings with it a heavy amount of additional paperwork and mandated delays. Closing costs increase, as labor costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
  • Similarly, regulations have increased in hopes of preventing a housing-fueled financial meltdown such as the one from which we’re still recovering. In general, regardless how much regulations are needed or how good intentions were when implementing them, they usually bring with them unintended side effects as well. In housing, new regulations from the Dodd-Frank Act have removed some of the incentives for loan providers to fast-track loans — especially for smaller loans. Whether or not this is effective or necessary, it adds yet another drag and additional costs for folks looking to buy a home quickly.
  • Many homes have appraisal values less than the purchase contract, which usually causes a delay of at least three days after the loan is re-quoted. Furthermore, the Appraiser Independence Act, which was passed in order to protect consumers from collusion between predatory lenders and appraisers, has a side effect of significantly reducing communication between trustworthy lenders and appraisers as well. This too slows down the process.

Here are two things you can do :

1. Stop Using National Banks

The big banks are taking months longer than community lenders like us. You’ll get better service — and faster service — with us.

2. Start Now

Contact one of our Texas home loan specialists to get the process started today. We’re determined to go above and beyond the service and attention you’ll find anywhere else, and our team is motivated to serve each customer equally — regardless of how large of a Dallas home loan, Austin home loan, or Houston home loan they’re seeking.

Risk, Psychology, and the Housing Market

November 28th, 2011

One reason the housing market has been slow to recover is the massive glut of houses still available on the market. One reason there is a glut is because asking prices haven’t dropped as quickly as market values.

The excellent Planet Money blog explored this phenomenon recently, and learned a few things about the psychology of purchase and investment risk:

As it turns out, our brains feel losses and gains unevenly: Losing feels worse than winning feels good. In a down [housing] market, people really don’t want to sell, because selling feels like losing.

For example, [a study] compared two basically identical condos. The owners of both had paid off their mortgages. But one had bought at the peak of the market. That person, he found, would stubbornly ask for a higher price, and keep his condo on the market longer than the other person, who had bought at a lower price.

“The overall magnitude of this effect is very big,” Mayer told me. “This is an important factor in how housing markets operate.”

But this psychological quirk is also slowing the healing process. It makes people reluctant to lower the asking price on their homes, which in turn contributes to the glut of houses on the market. It’s unclear why our brains are wired this way — why we overemphasize losses.

Interesting stuff. The report didn’t attempt to answer why the brain overemphasizes losses, but it seems pretty obvious:  Winning $100,000 at a casino would be nice. Losing $100,000 would for most people likely be devastating. Earning a 10 percent return on an investment of your life savings would be nice. Losing your life savings can be ruinous.

In other words, while it’s nice to have more, loss can be devastating. Holding onto what we have is more important than gaining more. That fear of loss trumps desire for gain seems like a built-in survival instinct.

This applies to the housing market as well. On the buyer’s side, it’s understandable that some families might not be in the mood to jump right back in to the market after the last collapse (burn me once, fool on me; burn me twice…), or at least not make as big of a splash. The extra $50,000 worth of house you could get by splurging just a little bit more might seem nice (and could pay off big in the long-run), but not if there’s a decent chance that you’ll be underwater in three or four years. Betting big may be thrilling at the casino or dog track, but not when what you lose is where your wife, kids and dog call home. On the selling side, people might simply believe that time will heal old wounds, and if they wait long enough, eventually they’ll get their asking price.

Here at Texas Lending, we’re eager to help ease any fears that potential homebuyers in Texas might have. We’ve got a slew of affordable Dallas home loan, Houston home loan, and Austin home loan products — including home equity loans and home refinance loans.

 
 

Texas Mortgage Banker  TexasLending.com is an Equal Housing Lender
4309 Alpha Road Dallas, TX 75244 - Phone: 972-387-4600
© Copyright 2009 TexasLending.com      Entries (RSS) and Comments (RSS).